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Keyword Search Criteria: forecast returned 72 record(s)
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Sunday, 07/29/2018
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Deep Learning for Statistical Inference in Infectious Disease Systems
Rob Deardon, University of Calgary; Carolyn Augusta, University of Guelph; Graham Taylor, University of Guelph
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Forecasting U.S. Textile Comparative Advantage Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Models and Time Series Outlier Analysis
Lori Rothenberg, NC State University; Zahra Saki, NC State University; Marguerite Moore, NC State University
3:20 PM
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Nonparametric Estimation of Sufficient Forecasting Using High-Dimensional Predictors
Xiufan Yu, Penn State University; Jiawei Yao, Citadel LLC; Lingzhou Xue, Penn State University and National Institute of Statistical Sciences
4:25 PM
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Forecasting Accuracy of Topic Modeling Techniques for Online Reviews: a Benchmark Study
Yuan Cheng, Cornell University; Shawn Mankad, Cornell University
4:50 PM
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Monday, 07/30/2018
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A Note on Managing Uncertainty About Source Release Height After an Accident
Ali Gargowm, United Arab Emirates Univ / College of Business & Economics
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Forecasting Artificial Earth Satellite Populations
James P. Howard, II, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory
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Spatial and Temporal Trends in Weather Forecasting and Improving Predictions with ARIMA Modeling
Manasi Sheth, California State University; Mahalaxmi Gundreddy, California State University East Bay; Vivek Shah, Applied Materials, Inc. ; Pritam Barlota, California State University East Bay; Eric Suess, CSU East Bay
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Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Modeling of Physical Processes in Industrial Hygiene
Nada Abdalla, UCLA; Sudipto Banerjee, UCLA School of Public Health; Gurumurthy Ramachandran, John Hopkins University; Susan Arnold, University of Minnesota
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Applying functional data analysis and clustering methods on weather forecast data in the U.S.
Yifan Wu, Simon Fraser University; Ying (Daisy) Yu, Simon Fraser University; Chuyuan (Cherlane) Lin, Simon Fraser University
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Verification, Diagnosis, and Adjustment of Current Temperature Forecasting System in the United States
Han-Yueh Lee, National Tsing Hua University; Hsiao-Ting Lin, National Tsing Hua University
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Should You Pay Attention to Daily Weather Forecast? An Exploration
Dooti Roy, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.; Gregory Vaughan, Bentley University; Jianan Hui, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.; Junxian Geng, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.
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The Impact of Bias and Uncertainty of Weather Forecasts on Storm Events
Mary Frances Dorn, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Kimberly Kaufeld, Los Alamos National Laboratory
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Uncertainty Quantification of Weather Forecasts
Yu Wang, University of British Columbia; Gong Zhang, University of British Columbia; Boyi Hu, University of British Columbia; Ho Yin Ho, University of British Columbia
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Weather Forecasts: How Reliable Are They?
Xuemao Zhang, East Stroudsburg University
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An Analysis on the Accuracy of Weather Forecasts
Benjamin William Schweitzer, Miami University; Nichole Rook, Miami University; Ryan Estep, Miami University; Robert Garrett, Miami University; Thomas Fisher, Miami University
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Modeling and Mapping Weather Forecast Accuracy
Queen Ikhelowa; Darren Keeley, CSUEB
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Assessing Prediction Error in Traditional Weather Forecasts vs. a Data-Centric Approach
Robert Garrett, Miami University; Ryan Estep, Miami University; Nichole Rook, Miami University; Benjamin William Schweitzer, Miami University; Thomas Fisher, Miami University
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Random Conditional Histogram Based Density Estimation with Applications in Probabilistic Forecasting
Rui Li, North Carolina State University; Howard D Bondell, University of Melbourne; Brian Reich, North Carolina State University
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Analysis of Weather Forecasting Data for Data Expo 2018
Jordan Rodu, University of Virginia
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Exploring Spatiotemporal Patterns in Forecast Data
Erin Howard, Oregon State University; Matthew Higham
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Spatial Correlation in Weather Forecast Accuracy: A Functional Time Series Approach
Phillip Alexander Jang, Cornell University
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Do I Need to Check the Weather Forecast, or Is Yesterday's Weather a Reasonable Prediction?
Rachel Harter, RTI International; Kayla Nowak, RTI International; Nicole Mack, RTI International
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Introducing Forecast Intervals with a Confidence Game
Robin Lock, St. Lawrence University
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Modeling and Mapping Weather Forecast Accuracy
Queen Ikhelowa; Darren Keeley, CSUEB
8:40 AM
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Random Conditional Histogram Based Density Estimation with Applications in Probabilistic Forecasting
Rui Li, North Carolina State University; Howard D Bondell, University of Melbourne; Brian Reich, North Carolina State University
8:45 AM
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Assessing Prediction Error in Traditional Weather Forecasts vs. a Data-Centric Approach
Robert Garrett, Miami University; Ryan Estep, Miami University; Nichole Rook, Miami University; Benjamin William Schweitzer, Miami University; Thomas Fisher, Miami University
8:50 AM
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Verification, Diagnosis, and Adjustment of Current Temperature Forecasting System in the United States
Han-Yueh Lee, National Tsing Hua University; Hsiao-Ting Lin, National Tsing Hua University
8:55 AM
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Spatial Correlation in Weather Forecast Accuracy: A Functional Time Series Approach
Phillip Alexander Jang, Cornell University
9:00 AM
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Learning from Dynamical Systems
Ingo Steinwart, University of Stuttgart
9:05 AM
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Should You Pay Attention to Daily Weather Forecast? An Exploration
Dooti Roy, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.; Gregory Vaughan, Bentley University; Jianan Hui, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.; Junxian Geng, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.
9:05 AM
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The Impact of Bias and Uncertainty of Weather Forecasts on Storm Events
Mary Frances Dorn, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Kimberly Kaufeld, Los Alamos National Laboratory
9:10 AM
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Uncertainty Quantification of Weather Forecasts
Yu Wang, University of British Columbia; Gong Zhang, University of British Columbia; Boyi Hu, University of British Columbia; Ho Yin Ho, University of British Columbia
9:15 AM
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Weather Forecasts: How Reliable Are They?
Xuemao Zhang, East Stroudsburg University
9:20 AM
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An Analysis on the Accuracy of Weather Forecasts
Benjamin William Schweitzer, Miami University; Nichole Rook, Miami University; Ryan Estep, Miami University; Robert Garrett, Miami University; Thomas Fisher, Miami University
9:30 AM
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The Myths About Weather Forecasting
Yifan Wu, Simon Fraser University; Ying (Daisy) Yu, Simon Fraser University; Chuyuan (Cherlane) Lin, Simon Fraser University
9:40 AM
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Do I Need to Check the Weather Forecast, or Is Yesterday's Weather a Reasonable Prediction?
Rachel Harter, RTI International; Kayla Nowak, RTI International; Nicole Mack, RTI International
9:45 AM
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Analysis of Weather Forecasting Data for Data Expo 2018
Jordan Rodu, University of Virginia
9:55 AM
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Introducing Forecast Intervals with a Confidence Game
Robin Lock, St. Lawrence University
9:55 AM
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Exploring Spatiotemporal Patterns in Forecast Data
Erin Howard, Oregon State University; Matthew Higham
10:00 AM
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The Wisdom of Committees
Neil R Ericsson, Federal Reserve Board; David F Hendry, University of Oxford; S. Yanki Kalfa, SAIS; Jaime Marquez, SAIS
10:50 AM
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A Simulation-Based Prediction and Optimization Framework for Bio-pharmaceutical Supply Chain Dynamic Risk Management
Wei Xie, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; Pu Zhang, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; Ilya O. Ryzhov, University of Maryland
10:55 AM
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Forecasting of Grape Powdery Mildew Disease Risk in Vineyards Using a Bayesian Learning Network Model
Nathaniel Newlands, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (Science and Technology Branch); Weixun Lu, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (Science and Technology Branch); Odile Carisse, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (Science and Technology Branch); David E. Atkinson, University of Victoria
11:05 AM
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Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Modeling of Physical Processes in Industrial Hygiene
Nada Abdalla, UCLA; Sudipto Banerjee, UCLA School of Public Health; Gurumurthy Ramachandran, John Hopkins University; Susan Arnold, University of Minnesota
11:45 AM
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Things Fall Apart: Creating Robust Nowcasters for Shifting Ground Truth
Margaret Levenstein, Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research
2:45 PM
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Spatio-Temporal Models for Probabilistic Wind Vector Forecasting in Saudi Arabia
Amanda Lenzi, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology; Marc G Genton, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology
3:20 PM
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Tuesday, 07/31/2018
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Using Error Statistics to Improve Forecasts
Hope Cullers, Purdue University; Mike Baldwin, Purdue University
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Bayesian Function Data Analysis for Weather Forecast
Duchwan Ryu, Northern Illinois University; Hao Shen, Northern Illinois University
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Through the Looking Glass - Has the Economy Turned Upside Down?
Constance L. Hunter, KPMG LLP
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Longterm forecasting under limited data
Lijuan Xu, Google
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Spatio-Temporally Explicit Model Averaging for Forecasting of Alaskan Groundfish Catch
Hannah Correia, Auburn University
8:50 AM
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Age-Related Variations in Cancer Mortality Rates
Keshav Pokhrel, University of Michigan-Dearborn
8:50 AM
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Distributional Trees and Forests
Lisa Schlosser, University of Innsbruck; Torsten Hothorn, University of Zurich; Reto Stauffer, University of Innsbruck; Achim Zeileis, University of Innsbruck
9:15 AM
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Data-Driven Modeling and Forecast of Noisy Nonlinear Dynamics
Kyongmin Yeo, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center; Youngdeok Hwang, Sungkyunkwan University; Eun Kyung Lee, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center
10:35 AM
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Extreme Wind Speed Forecasting Using INLA
Daniela Castro, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology; Raphaël Huser, KAUST
2:35 PM
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Wednesday, 08/01/2018
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WORKING LIFE EXPECTANCY of MAJOR LEAGUE PITCHERS and FORECASTING the NUMBER of THEM: TASKS MADE EASY by USING the COHORT CHANGE RATIO METHOD
David Swanson, University of California Riverside; Jeff Tayman, University of California San Diego; Lucky Tedrow, Western Washington University; Jack Baker, Health Fitness Corporation
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Large-Scale Statistical Forecasting at Target Corporation
Phillip Yelland, Target Corporation
9:05 AM
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WORKING LIFE EXPECTANCY of MAJOR LEAGUE PITCHERS and FORECASTING the NUMBER of THEM: TASKS MADE EASY by USING the COHORT CHANGE RATIO METHOD
David Swanson, University of California Riverside; Jeff Tayman, University of California San Diego; Lucky Tedrow, Western Washington University; Jack Baker, Health Fitness Corporation
9:35 AM
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Forecasting Consumer Interests from Search Query Data Using Large-Scale, Semiparametric Probabilistic Prediction Algorithms
Georg Goerg
2:05 PM
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Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting
Knut Are Aastveit, Norges Bank; Kenichiro Mcalinn, Booth School of Business, University of Chicago; Jouchi Nakajima, Bank for International Settlements; Mike West, Duke University
2:25 PM
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Optimization of Decision Trees by Delaying the Split Decision
Kyle Caudle, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology; Larry Pyeatt, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology; Christer Karlsson, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology; Randy Hoover, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology
2:35 PM
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Analytical Likelihood Derivatives for State Space Forecasting Models
Jonathan R. M. Hosking, Amazon; Ramesh Natarajan, Amazon
2:45 PM
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Model-Based Crop Yield Forecasting: Adjustment for Within-State Heterogeneity, Covariate Selection and Variance Estimation
Habtamu Benecha, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service; Nathan Cruze, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service; Nell Sedransk, National Institute of Statistical Sciences (NISS)
3:20 PM
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A Classification Framework for Forecast Model Selection
Thiyanga Talagala, Monash University; Rob J Hyndman, Monash University; George Athanasopoulos, Monash University
3:20 PM
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Thursday, 08/02/2018
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Predictive Distribution of Anticipative Alpha-Stable Markov Processes
Sebastian Fries, Paris-Saclay University, Faculty of Mathematics & CREST
8:35 AM
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Leveraging Adiabatic Quantum Computation for Election Forecasting
Maxwell Henderson, QxBranch
8:35 AM
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A Non-Collapsing Particle Filter for a High-Dimensional Cellular Automata Model of Traffic Flow
Thomas Bengtsson, Genentech
9:35 AM
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Short-Term Forecasting of Seasonal Environmental Time Series
Kimihiro Noguchi, Western Washington University; Benjamin Hansen, University of Groningen
10:05 AM
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Scoring Rules for Probabilistic Binary Classification
Matthew Parry, University of Otago
11:00 AM
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Model Choice and Future Prediction Accuracy in Time Series for Disease Incidence
Reagan Spindler, Hope College; Yew-Meng Koh, Hope College
11:05 AM
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Modeling Social Contact Networks in Niakhar, Senegal
Gail Potter, The Emmes Corporation; Jimmy Wong, FDA; Jonathan Sugimoto, Fred Hutch; Aldiouma Diallo, IRD; John Chris Victor , PATH; Kathleen Neuzil, University of Maryland ; M Elizabeth Halloran, Fred Hutch , University of Washington
11:20 AM
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Calibrating Forecasts to Volatile Time Series
Janice Lent, U.S. Energy Information Administration
11:35 AM
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Approximate Bayesian Forecasting
Brendan McCabe, University of Liverpool
11:50 AM
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